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the standard difference equation (DE) form, current inflation is a function of past inflation, expected future inflation …, and real marginal costs. The alternative closed form (CF) specification explicitly solves the DE form to express inflation … as a function of past inflation and a present-discounted value of current and expected future marginal costs. The CF …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003914086
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008666817
inflation model, when used to explain inflation persistence. Indeed, virtually all inflationary dynamics end up being captured … model (i.e. lagged inflation) and that the SPI model overemphasizes inflationary persistence. Thus, there appears to be room … inflation persistence. -- Empirical distribution ; model selection ; sticky information ; sticky price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003698507
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003617329
-form (CF) estimates require by construction that expectations of inflation be model-consistent at all points in time, while the … inflation is insufficient to explain inflation persistence. -- closed form ; model-consistent expectations ; New Keynesian … Phillips curve ; forward-looking Euler equation ; time-varying trend inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153344
.S. inflation. We examine the overall performance of Phillips curves relative to some well-known benchmarks, the efficiency with … which the Federal Reserve’s Greenbook forecasts of inflation use real activity information, and shifts in the key … determinants of the reduced-form triangle modelʺ of inflation. We develop a structural model-based interpretation of observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003842109
improvement in performance is driven mostly by lagged inflation and that the SPI model overemphasizes inflationary persistence …. There appears to be room for improvement in all models in order to induce them to better "track" inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130738
-looking Euler equation ; time-varying trend inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153334
In their 2010 comment (which we refer to as CS10), Cogley and Sbordone argue that: (i ) our estimates are not entirely closed form, and hence are arbitrary; (ii ) we cannot guarantee that our estimates are valid, while their estimates (Cogley and Sbordone 2008, henceforth CS08) always are; and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123632
.S. inflation. We examine the overall performance of Phillips curves relative to some well-known benchmarks, the efficiency with … which the Federal Reserve's Greenbook forecasts of inflation use real activity information, and shifts in the key … determinants of the reduced-form 'triangle model' of inflation. We develop a structural model-based interpretation of observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158194