Path forecasts, defined as sequences of individual forecasts, generated by vector autoregressions are widely used in applied work. It has been recognized that a profound econometric analysis requires, besides the path forecast, a joint prediction region that contains the whole future path with a...

Path forecasts, defined as sequences of individual forecasts, generated by vector autoregressions are widely used in applied work. It has been recognized that a profound econometric analysis often requires, besides the path forecast, a joint prediction region that contains the whole future path...

We assess the bias and the efficiency of state-of-the-art dynamic panel data estimators by means of model-based Monte Carlo simulations. The underlying data-generating process consists of a standard theoretical growth model of income convergence based on capital accumulation. While we impose a...