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Certificates are structured financial instruments that aim to provide investors with investment solutions tailored to their needs. Certificates can be modeled using a bond component and a derivative component, typically an options strategy. The pricing of certificates is typically performed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327175
This paper puts forward kernel ridge regression as an approach for forecasting with many predictors that are related … overfitting. We extend the kernel ridge regression methodology to enable its use for economic time-series forecasting, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382698
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011550112
filtering of time-varying volatility, and volatility forecasting. Specifically, we make use of the indirect inference method to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433826
In the current paper, we study the stability and the survival probabilities of enterprises and banks within a prolonged duration of the debt-crisis, with Monte Carlo simulation. We utilize historical data from banks and enterprises within the debt-crisis to define crisis-variability and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410155
Many dynamic problems in economics are characterized by large state spaces which make both computing and estimating the model infeasible. We introduce a method for approximating the value function of high-dimensional dynamic models based on sieves and establish results for the: (a) consistency,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107595
Credit value adjustment (CVA) and related charges have emerged as important risk factors following the Global Financial Crisis. These charges depend on uncertain future values of underlying products, and are usually computed by Monte Carlo simulation. For products that cannot be valued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001225
A simple and readily computable algorithm is developed for approximating the low moments of order deviates from any continuous distribution. The results are compared with those obtained from exact closed form moments, obtained from quadrature as well as other non-Monte Carlo integral computations
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779480
In this paper, we propose a novel investment strategy for portfolio optimization problems. The proposed strategy maximizes the expected portfolio value bounded within a targeted range, composed of a conservative lower target representing a need for capital protection and a desired upper target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902987
Derivatives on the Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility index (VIX) have gained significant popularity over the last decade. The pricing of VIX derivatives involves evaluating the square root of the expected realised variance which cannot be computed by direct Monte Carlo methods. Least...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980091