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these evaluation functions. Functions in the lmForc package are built around a new S4 class, Forecast, which introduces a … test model specifications and understand precisely how a model arrives at a forecast …
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autoregressive model to forecast the Global Index of Economic Activity. Additionally, we estimate the common trends through partial … forecast error with respect to benchmark models, mainly when estimated using PC. …
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Previous findings indicate that the inclusion of dynamic factors obtained from a large set of predictors can improve macroeconomic forecasts. In this paper, we explore three possible further developments: (i) using automatic criteria for choosing those factors which have the greatest predictive...
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Measuring economic activity in real-time is a crucial issue in applied research and in the decision-making process of policy makers; however, it also poses intricate challenges to statistical filtering methods that are built to operate optimally under the auspices of an infinite number of...
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