Identification via heteroskedasticity exploits differences in variances across regimes to identify parameters in simultaneous equations. I study weak identification in such models, which arises when variances change very little or the variances of multiple shocks change close to proportionally....

Standard tests and confidence sets in the moment inequality literature are not robust to model misspecification in the sense that they exhibit spurious precision when the identified set is empty. This paper introduces tests and confidence sets that provide correct asymptotic inference for a...

Standard tests and confidence sets in the moment inequality literature are not robust to model misspecification in the sense that they exhibit spurious precision when the identified set is empty. This paper introduces tests and confidence sets that provide correct asymptotic inference for a...

This paper studies the robust estimation and inference of threshold models with integrated regressors. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the profiled least squares (LS) estimator under the diminishing threshold effect assumption that the size of the threshold effect converges to zero....

We propose two robust methods for testing hypotheses on unknown parameters of predictive regression models under heterogeneous and persistent volatility as well as endogenous, persistent and/or fat-tailed regressors and errors. The proposed robust testing approaches are applicable both in the...

Identification via heteroskedasticity exploits differences in variances across regimes to identify parameters in simultaneous equations. I study weak identification in such models, which arises when variances change very little or the variances of multiple shocks change close to proportionally....

We consider robust inference for an autoregressive parameter in a stationary autoregressive model with GARCH innovations when estimation is based on least squares estimation. As the innovations exhibit GARCH, they are by construction heavy-tailed with some tail index κ. The rate of consistency...

Examination over multiple horizons has been a routine in testing asset return predictability in finance and macroeconomics. In a simple predictive regression model, we find that the popular scaled test for multiple-horizon predictability has zero null rejection rate if the forecast horizon...

This paper introduces a bootstrap-based inference method for functions of the parameter vector in a moment (in)equality model. As a special case, our method yields marginal confidence sets for individual coordinates of this parameter vector. Our inference method controls asymptotic size...

This paper studies the problem of specification testing in partially identified models defined by a finite number of moment equalities and inequalities (i.e., (in)equalities). Under the null hypothesis, there is at least one parameter value that simultaneously satisfies all of the moment...