Showing 1 - 10 of 4,065
high-frequency data better and produce more accurate forecasts than competing realized volatility and option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855793
This paper proposes an ex post volatility estimator, called mixed interval realized variance (MIRV), that uses high … theoretical properties of the new volatility estimator are illustrated and compared with those of the two currently dominant … realized measures: realized volatility and realized range. A simulation study adds to this comparison and highlights some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971871
the financial crisis, suggesting that an extreme volatility period requires models that can adapt quickly to turmoil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925879
The contributions of error distributions have been ignored while modeling stock market volatility in Nigeria and … studies have shown that the application of appropriate error distribution in volatility model enhances efficiency of the model … asymmetric volatility models each in Normal, Student's-t and generalized error distributions with the view to selecting the best …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489480
Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these … two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many … forecasting-volatility models, comparing their performance (in terms of Value at Risk, VaR) under the assumptions of jumping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304
Forecasting volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these … two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer from … these two family forecasting-volatility models, comparing their performance (in terms of Value at Risk, VaR) under the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674479
Volatility has been used as an indirect means for predicting risk accompanied with an asset. Volatility explains the … variations in returns. Forecasting volatility has been a stimulating problem in the financial systems. This study examined the … different volatility estimators and determined the most efficient volatility estimator. The study described the accuracy of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870348
Volatility had been used as an indirect means for predicting risk accompanied with the asset. Volatility explains the … variations in returns. Forecasting volatility had been a stimulating problem in the financial systems. The study examined the … different volatility estimators and determined the efficient volatility estimator. The study described the accuracy of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860158
Linear GARCH(1,1) and threshold GARCH(1,1) processes are established as regularly varying, meaning their heavy tails are Pareto like, under conditions that allow the innovations from the, respective, processes to be skewed. Skewness is considered a stylized fact for many financial returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803123
compute a time-transformation (TT) function using the intraday integrated volatility estimated by a jump-robust method. The …-martingale hypothesis of the stock log-price process and estimate the daily realized volatility. Our method improves the normality … approximation of the standardized business-time return distribution. Our Monte Carlo results show that the integrated volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781945