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The role of futures markets in stabilizing spot prices has been extensively discussed. Nevertheless, the ability of these markets to achieve the stabilizing function significantly depends on whether they are "efficient" in the sense that futures prices "fully reflect" the available information....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410400
The study aimed at determining a set of superior generalized orthogonal-GARCH (GO-GARCH) models for forecasting time-varying conditional correlations and variances of five foreign exchange rates vis-à-vis the Nigerian Naira. Daily data covering the period 02/01/2009 to 19/03/2015 was used, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011534717
We address some issues that arise with the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model. We prove that the DCC large … system estimator (DCC estimator) can be inconsistent, and that the traditional interpretation of the DCC correlation … parameters can lead to misleading conclusions. We then suggest a more tractable dynamic conditional correlation model (cDCC model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134164
Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model by allowing for a clustering structure of the univariate GARCH parameters. The … model can be estimated in two steps, the first devoted to the clustering structure, and the second focusing on correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125314
We construct a parsimonious test of constancy of the correlation matrix in the multivariate conditional correlation … deterministically as a function of time. The alternative is a covariance matrix, not a correlation matrix, so the test may be viewed as … a general test of stability of a constant correlation matrix. The size of the test in finite samples is studied by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459316
this area are the specification tests related to the correlation component, the extension of the general model to allow for … additional correlation regimes, and a detailed exposition of the systematic, improved modelling cycle required for such nonlinear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281494
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011285361
We introduce a new methodology to estimate the latent factors of a multivariate jump diffusion process illustrated with an application to the commodity futures term structure. Specifically, we propose a new state space form and then use a modified Kalman filter to estimate models with latent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971319
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000878183
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