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causal relationships postulated by the macroeconomic theory) and the role of regressors is played by business and consumer …
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theory-based selection of exogenous variables. For comparison between forecasts we apply ARIMA method as well. Our approach …
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-parametric estimation is impractical given commonly available predictive sample sizes. Instead, this paper derives the approximate …
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; factor ; federal reserve bank ; forecast ; macroeconometrics ; monetary policy ; parameter estimation error ; proxy …
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adequately "proxy" for estimated factors. -- diffusion index ; factor ; forecast ; macroeconometrics ; parameter estimation error …
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