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Mortality is different across countries, states and regions. Several empirical research works however reveal that … mortality trends exhibit a common pattern and show similar structures across populations. The key element in analyzing mortality … the empirical findings, we make the study of estimating and forecasting mortality rates based on a semi …
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general state-space modelling methodology, which allows modelling, estimation and forecasting of mortality under a unified … study long term mortality dynamics, we introduce stochastic volatility to the period effect. The estimation of the resulting …This paper explores and develops alternative statistical representations and estimation approaches for dynamic …
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I adapt Schmertmann's Calibrated Spline method to the problem of estimating a complete mortality schedule from abridged … data. I demonstrate its ability to fit the range of mortality profiles seen across the epidemiological transition. I find …
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