Showing 1 - 10 of 17,317
The goal of this paper is to search for conclusive evidence against the stationarity of the global air surface temperature, which is one of the most important indicators of climate change. For this purpose, possible long-range dependencies are investigated in the frequency-domain. Since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265709
We propose a Lagrange Multiplier test of the null hypothesis of cointegration in fractionally cointegrated models. The test statistic utilizes fully modified residuals to cancel the endogeneity and serial correlation biases, and we show that standard asymptotic properties apply under the null...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071206
We propose a Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test of the null hypothesis of cointegration in fractionally cointegrated models. The test statistic utilizes fully modified residuals to cancel the endogeneity and serial correlation biases, and we show that standard asymptotics apply. With i.i.d. Gaussian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116819
estimation and model comparison. The results based on the simulated data sets suggest that our method could achieve consistency … in both parameter estimation and model selection. -- dynamic panel data model with fixed effect ; incidental parameter … problem ; consistency in estimation ; model selection ; Bayesian model averaging ; Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003817215
Present paper considers structural break in panel AR(1) model which allows instability in mean, variance and autoregressive coefficient. This model is extension of univariate model proposed by Meligkotsiduo et al. (2004) and review of existing panel data time series model considering break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011785064
estimation of stochastic volatility models. We show both theoretically and empirically that the log range is approximately …We propose using the price range, a recently-neglected volatility proxy with a long histoy in finance, in the … Gaussian, in sharp contrast to popular volatility proxies, such as log absolute or squared returns. Hence Gaussian quasi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014154661
In this paper we propose exact likelihood-based mean-variance efficiency tests of the market portfolio in the context of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a special case. These tests are developed in the framework of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431982
We consider statistical inference for multivariate fractionally integrated time series models using a computationally simple conditional likelihood procedure which has recently been shown to be efficient in the univariate case. We show that those results generalize to the present multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116820
volatility clustering, as is typically the case for financial time series such as exchange rate returns. Our claim builds on … methods will yield power gains in the presence of fat tails and persistent volatility clustering, and the strength of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342578
Detecting structural changes in volatility is important for understanding volatility dynamics and stylized facts … observed for financial returns such as volatility persistence. We propose modified CUSUM and LM tests that are built on a … null distributions and diverge faster than standard tests under the alternative. The theory allows smooth and abrupt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097450