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Autoregressive models are used routinely in forecasting and often lead to better performance than more complicated models. However, empirical evidence is also suggesting that the autoregressive representations of many macroeconomic and financial time series are likely to be subject to structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011508088
; factor ; federal reserve bank ; forecast ; macroeconometrics ; monetary policy ; parameter estimation error ; proxy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130538
production; and exchange rates. -- diffusion index ; factor ; forecast ; macroeconometrics ; parameter estimation error ; proxy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130733
We introduce a new estimation framework which extends the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to settings where a … approach is completely observation driven, rendering estimation and inference straightforward. It provides a unified framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431471
The literature on heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust (HAR) inference is extensive but its usefulness relies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293025
sampling inherent in survey longitudinal data, (3) incorporation of predetermined variables in estimation, and (4 …This chapter presents a unified set of estimation methods for fitting a rich array of models describing dynamic … chapter is motivated by the principle that, whenever possible, estimation methods should rely on routines available in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024953
time-varying thresholds and simple estimation via least squares. We show via Monte Carlo simulations that the MAT-HAR has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848474
building are parameter estimation and evaluation that are also briefly considered. There are two possibilities of generating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023698
The successful investment policy is an integral part of successful activity of the insurance company. The return to the shareholders of the insurance company usually thought of as comprising the underwriting result and investment income. The investment income is very important even for an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156306
This paper describes a moments estimator for a standard state-space model with coefficients generated by a random walk. This estimator does not require that disturbances are normally distributed, but if they are, the proposed estimator is asymptotically equivalent to the maximum likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990906