R ating Based Modeling of Credit Risk Theory and Application of Migration Matrices Contents Preface xi 1 Introduction: Credit Risk Modeling, Ratings, a nd Migration Matrices ...

Financial contagion and systemic risk measures are commonly derived from conditional quantiles by using imposed model assumptions such as a linear parametrization. In this paper, we provide model free measures for contagion and systemic risk which are independent of the specifcation of...

The Schwartz-Smith two-factor model (Schwartz & Smith, 2000) was commonly used in the pricing of commodity futures in the last two decades. In 2016, (Filipovic & Larsson, 2016) introduced a polynomial diffusion framework which allows a more complex struc- ture of spot price. This framework has...

This paper explores and develops alternative statistical representations and estimation approaches for dynamic mortality models. The framework we adopt is to reinterpret popular mortality models such as the Lee-Carter class of models in a general state-space modelling methodology, which allows...

Recent empirical studies in Equity markets show evidence that, while asset log-returns are largely uncorrelated, it is possible to predict with some accuracy their future sign. Such prediction is made over a given forecast horizon based solely on the observed sign of the cumulative log-return...