Showing 1 - 10 of 5,271
of the different models, respectively. We find that overall the large Bayesian VAR and the Bayesian factor augmented VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010357899
(VAR) forecasting models. The analyses show that certain factor-augmented VAR models improve upon a simple univariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890976
notably with the pandemic. In a VAR, allowing the errors to have a distribution with fatter tails than the Gaussian one equips … the model to better deal with the COVID-19 shock. A standard Gaussian VAR can still be used for producing conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519429
The role that the price of oil plays in economic analysis in central banks as well as in financial markets has evolved over time. Oil is not seen anymore just as a input to production but also as a barometer of global economic activity as well as a financial asset. A high frequency structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299083
Viewed over the whole available history of fiat money in Sweden, high levels of inflation have been present only over a short time span. It is only in the last two decades - the seventies and the eighties - that inflation has been high, at an average of eight percent on an annual basis. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584828
exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices in the European transition economies. We estimate VAR model to investigate (1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553101
Time-varying exchange rate pass-through effects to domestic prices under fixed euro exchange rate perspective represent one of the most challenging implications of the common currency. The problem is even more crucial when examining crisis related redistributive effects associated with relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456836
This study analyzes the impact of supply and demand shocks on income and price inequality in the economy using data from Korea. First, supply and demand shocks are identified from output and price data in Korea using the methods found in Blanchard and Quah (1989) and Bashar (2011). In addition,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198179
This paper analyzes the time-varying credibility of the Fed's inflation target in an empirical macro model with asymmetric information, where the public has to learn about the actual inflation target from the Fed's interest rate policy. To capture the evolving communication strategy of the Fed,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472154
We present a study on combining the forecasts from a time-series model and an econometric model in the context of the inflation rates of Turkey and propose a new weighting scheme, the time-varying simple weighting method. Our guiding principle for the deduction of this method is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124997