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Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292328
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
We verify whether cocoa prices could be a source of inflation in five countries of the West African region within a … remittances enables us to examine the effect of an international capital flow variable on inflation. The results reveal that the … influence of cocoa prices on consumer price inflation is strong and statistically significant. The influence of the budget …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294008
This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295663
This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295806
Declining inflation rates might have negative consequences for tax revenues. Phenomena like the inflationary bracket … lay the theoretical base followed by a descriptive view on the relation between inflation, growth and tax revenues in the … reveal that an end of inflation would have a negative impact on tax revenues for a number of OECD countries. The results also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297682
between budget balance and inflation. The analysis focuses on European states in the period between 1999 and 2007, and … concludes that the relationship between budget balance and inflation is not demonstrable. In the literature, attempts to … quantify the relationship between the two factors have faced severe difficulties. Inflation influences both the revenue side …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300841
This paper explores the stability of the relation between money demand for M3 and inflation in the euro area by … including the recent period of the financial crisis. Evidence is based on a cointegration analysis, where inflation and asset … inflation are identified. The results indicate that the equilibrium evolution of M3 is still in line with money demand. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304804
inflation should differ between inflation and deflation episodes, using data for Japan and Hong Kong. We use a random … during both the inflation and deflation periods, and the parameter on the second moment changes sign in the deflation period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390613
In this paper we explore the link between the intensity of product market competition and inflation rates across EU … countries and sectors. We consider long-term averages of inflation rates in order to remove the cyclical behavior of inflation … product market competition, as proxied by the level of mark-up in particular, is an important driver of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604499