interest rates lead to changes to inflation in the opposite direction. I conclude that this is how credit crunches and monetary … tightening reduce inflation. I simulate different monetary policy through a variable inflation target. Wild swings in the target … kill the persistence in inflation, which may explain the absence of persistence under the Gold Standard. A stable target …

the author. The first part uses a theorem in control theory (Arrow's sufficiency theorem) to provide sufficiency … the paper provides a closed-form solution to the general equilibrium expression of the welfare costs of inflation when the … the general-equilibrium and Bailey's partial-equilibrium estimates of the welfare losses due to inflation. Again, in Lucas …

Long-term bond yields contain a risk-premium, an important part of which is compensation for inflation risks. The …

inflation rate is -.17. The corresponding correlation for the period 1950 to 1979 is .71. Inflation evolved from essentially a … stochastic process of inflation, rather than a change in any structural relationship between nominal rates and expectedi nflation …. I find little evidence of inflation non-neutrality in data from the gold standard period.This contradicts the conclusion …

intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output growth and inflation, obtained using a small macroeconometric model, are … presented. We discuss in detail the probability that inflation will fall within the Bank of England's target range and that … insights on the interrelatedness of output growth and inflation outcomes at different horizons. …

inflation rate is -.17. The corresponding correlation for the period 1950 to 1979 is .71. Inflation evolved from essentially a … stochastic process of inflation, rather than a change in any structural relationship between nominal rates and expectedi nflation …. I find little evidence of inflation non-neutrality in data from the gold standard period.This contradicts the conclusion …