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The 1896 presidential election between William Jennings Bryan and William McKinley has new salience in the wake of the 2016 presidential contest. We provide the first systematic analysis of presidential voting in 1896, combining county-level returns with economic, financial, and demographic...
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The effect of negative shifts in public opinion on the economic lives of minorities is unknown. We study the role of racial bias in the U.S. labor market by investigating sudden changes in public opinion about Asians following the anti-Chinese rhetoric that emerged with the COVID-19 pandemic,...
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' PC (relating the level of the inflation rate, not the change in this rate, to the rate of unemployment); and the …
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economic determinants of presidential popularity. We find strong evidence for non-linear and negative effects of unemployment …, inflation and government consumption on presidential approval and present empirical evidence in favor of the hypothesis of the …
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