This paper derives the gravity equation with intermediate goods trade. We extend a standard monopolistic competition model to incorporate intermediate goods trade, and show that the gravity equation with intermediates trade is identical to the one without it except in that gross output should be...

In this paper, we introduce a new method to measure uncertainty using quantitative text analysis and explore the effects of uncertainty on firm performance. We extend a theoretical model with heterogeneous firms and sunk investments to derive hypotheses about the impact of trade policy...