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In this study, we predict the daily volatility of the S&P CNX NIFTY market index of India using the basic … jump and continuous component from the realized volatility. We also tried to investigate whether dividing volatility into … simple and threshold jumps and continuous variation yields a substantial improvement in volatility forecasting or not. The …
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We propose a methodology to include night volatility estimates in the day volatility modeling problem with high … the natural relationship between the realized measure and the conditional variance. This improves volatility modeling by … leverage effect and maintains a mathematical structure that facilitates volatility estimation. A class of bivariate models that …
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prices. We empirically assess efficiency gains in volatility estimation when using range-based estimators as opposed to … simple daily ranges and explore the use of these more efficient volatility measures as predictors of daily ranges. The array … forecasts are produced by a realized range based HAR model with a GARCH volatility-of-volatility component. …
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