Showing 1 - 10 of 2,511
This paper proposes a strategy to increase the efficiency of forecast combining methods. Given the availability of a wide range of forecasting models for the same variable of interest, our goal is to apply combining methods to a restricted set of models. To this aim, an algorithm procedure based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294027
We estimate a New Keynesian DSGE model on French, German, Italian, and Spanish data. The main aim of this paper is to check for the respective sets of parameters that are stable over time, making use of the ESS procedure ('Estimate of Set of Stable parameters') developed by Inoue and Rossi...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294717
Research efforts towards new energy sources and towards the efficiency of energy use will be vital to reducing CO2 abatement costs in the long term. Can such efforts be induced by price instruments? Economists often cite induced technological change as a possible consequence of environmental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295565
The extremely large disparities in employment rates across Italian regions, and the bad performance of the Italian economy in terms of job creation in the 80´s and early 90´s make job creation a top-priority in the economic policy agenda. This paper uses data on employment from 784 Local Labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295579
Recent theory on exchange rate dynamics suggests that the mere announcement of regime switching from floating to fixed rates at a given future date triggers a reduction in exchange rate volatility during the interim period. Using a Markov-switching GARCH model this paper estimates the volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295594
This paper estimates standard and extended Taylor rules for core countries in the euro area, namely France, Germany and Italy, as well as for the ECB. Forward, backward and forecast-based rules are estimated for a variety of samples since the late 1970s. We are particularly interested in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295649
-Verbraucherumfrage ermittelten Daten und die von Consensus Economics erhobenen Expertenprognosen für Deutschland, Frankreich und Italien. Die …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295707
Niederlande und Italien von 1973 bis 2001. Abhängigkeit wird dabei gemessen anhand der bedingten Wahrscheinlichkeit einer … Italien weniger eng mit dem deutschen Aktienmarkt verbunden sind. Viertens sind die Abhängigkeiten zwischen zwei Märkten …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295729
This paper investigates the relevance of the sticky information model of Mankiw and Reis (2002) and Carroll (2003) for four major European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). As opposed to the benchmark rational expectation models, households in the sticky information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295782
The paper presents empirical work on short-run and long-run comovement between the German, French and Italian aggregates of private consumption, business investment, exports, imports, GDP, and changes in inventories. In country-specific data sets, cointegration analyses are carried out both to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295784