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The main idea of this article is that a rise in permanent general government consumption increases the permanent taxation imposed on firms and reduces the net present value of their profits and hence reduces their net present value.This hypothesis was examined empirically for Israel in the...
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"This paper empirically analyzes the Expectations Hypothesis (EH) in inflation-indexed (or real) bonds and in nominal bonds in the US and in the UK. We strongly reject the EH in inflation-indexed bonds, and also confirm and update the existing evidence rejecting the EH in nominal bonds. This...
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We provide a critical assessment of the method used by the Cleveland Fed to correct expected inflation derived from index-linked bonds for liquidity and inflation risk premia and show how their method can be adapted to account for time-varying inflation risk premia. Furthermore, we show how...
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