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We estimate a New Keynesian DSGE model on French, German, Italian, and Spanish data. The main aim of this paper is to check for the respective sets of parameters that are stable over time, making use of the ESS procedure ('Estimate of Set of Stable parameters') developed by Inoue and Rossi...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294717
This paper estimates standard and extended Taylor rules for core countries in the euro area, namely France, Germany and Italy, as well as for the ECB. Forward, backward and forecast-based rules are estimated for a variety of samples since the late 1970s. We are particularly interested in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295649
The paper develops an empirical no-arbitrage Gaussian affine term structure model to explain the dynamics of the German term structure of interest rates from 1979 through 1998. In contrast to most affine term structure models two risk factors that drive the dynamics are linked to observable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295651
Papers estimating the reaction function of the Bundesbank generally find that its monetary policy from the 1970s to 1998 can well be captured by a standard Taylor rule according to which the central bank responds to the output gap and to deviations of inflation from target, but not to monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295652
-Verbraucherumfrage ermittelten Daten und die von Consensus Economics erhobenen Expertenprognosen für Deutschland, Frankreich und Italien. Die …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295707
In diesem Papier wird ein neuer Rahmen für die Untersuchung der Wirkungen von Geldpolitik auf privatwirtschaftliche …, Geldpolitik ist wirksam, und privatwirtschaftliche Investitionen reagieren auf Änderungen der in den Kapitalnutzungskosten … erhöht die geschätzte Wirkung von Geldpolitik um ein Drittel im Vergleich zur Simulation einer isolierten …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295752
In this paper, we investigate the relationship between stock returns and short-term interest rates. Identification of the stock return-interest rate relation is solved by using a new technique that relies on the heteroskedasticity of shocks to stock market returns. We suggest some improvements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295762
We focus on a quantitative assessment of rigid labor markets in an environment of stable monetary policy. We ask how wages and labor market shocks feed into the inflation process and derive monetary policy implications. Towards that aim, we structurally model matching frictions and rigid wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295805
The paper derives the monetary policy reaction function implied by money growth targeting. It consists of an interest rate response to deviations of the inflation rate from target, to the change in the output gap, to money demand shocks and to the lagged interest rate. In the second part, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295843
This paper addresses the credit channel in Germany by using aggregate data. We present a stylized model of the banking firm, in which banks decide on their loan supply in the light of uncertainty about the future course of monetary policy. Applying a vector error correction model (VECM), we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296531