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Prediction qualities of the Ifo indicators on a temporal disaggregated German GDP
Seiler, Christian - 2009
This paper compares the German Gross Domestic Product between 1991 and 2008 with the Ifo business indicators. Because GDP is published quarterly but the Ifo indicators monthly, the most analyses compare these variables by merging the indicators to quarterly data. In this paper an alternative way...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008859474
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Should forecasters use real-time data to evaluate leading indicator models for GDP prediction? : German evidence
Heinisch, Katja; Scheufele, Rolf - 2017
relative to industrial production and orders in Germany. Although we find evidence that forecast characteristics based on real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011595370
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Real-time GDP forecasting for Japan : a dynamic factor model approach
Urasawa, Satoshi - In: Journal of the Japanese and international economies : … 34 (2014), pp. 116-134
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010475484
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The nexus between economic sentiment indicator and gross domestic product : a panel cointegration analysis
Tomić, Daniel; Šimurina, Jurica; Jovanov, Luka - In: Zagreb international review of economics & business 23 (2020) 1, pp. 121-140
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012601190
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Forecasting US economic growth in downturns using cross-country data
Lyu, Yifei; Nie, Jun; Yang, Shu-Kuei X. - In: Economics letters 198 (2021), pp. 1-5
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605756
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Nowcasting and forecasting GDP in emerging markets using global financial and macroeconomic diffusion indexes
Cepni, Oguzhan; Güney, Ethem; Swanson, Norman R. - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 2, pp. 555-572
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300700
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High-mixed-frequency dynamic latent factor forecasting models for GDP in the Philippines
Mariano, Roberto S.; Ozmucur, Suleyman - In: Estudios de economía aplicada : revista promovida por … 33 (2015) 2, pp. 451-462
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011592625
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Rationality of announcements, business cycle asymmetry, and predictability of revisions : the case of French GDP
Mogliani, Matteo; Ferrière, Thomas - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578405
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Estimates of quarterly GDP growth using MIDAS regressions
Bhaghoe, Sailesh; Ooft, Gavin; Franses, Philip Hans - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149762
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A high-frequency GDP indicator for Switzerland
Kronenberg, Philipp - 2024
This paper presents a weekly GDP indicator for Switzerland, which addresses the limitations of existing economic activity indicators using alternative high-frequency data created in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. The indicator is obtained from a Bayesian mixed-frequency dynamic factor model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014562886