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Business Cycles, Optimal Interest Rate, and Recession Forecast From Yield Curve, Unemployment, GDP, and Payrolls
Lihn, Stephen H.T. - 2019
monetary policy. It covers several major macro-economic quantities, including unemployment rate, GDP, and weekly payrolls in … natural rate of unemployment and GDP growth comes out of the model naturally. An optimization framework is proposed to … first-order analytic solution is derived. We find that FED's interest rate policy has leaned heavily on the unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866359
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Relationship between different-term interest rate spreads and economic activity in the United States
Wang, Yung-chang; Lan, Tuong Thi - In: The empirical economics letters : a monthly … 13 (2014) 1, pp. 17-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392643
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Has the Fed improved U.S. economic performance?
Hogan, Thomas L. - In: Journal of macroeconomics 43 (2015), pp. 257-266
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507108
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The decline in volatility of US GDP growth
Burren, Daniel; Neusser, Klaus - In: Applied economics letters 17 (2010) 16/18, pp. 1625-1631
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009232171
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Great moderation or "will o' the wisp"? : a time-frequency decomposition of GDP for the US and UK
Crowley, Patrick M.; Hughes Hallett, Andrew - In: Journal of macroeconomics 44 (2015), pp. 82-97
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570305
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Interest rate uncertainty and economic fluctuations
Creal, Drew; Wu, Jing Cynthia - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010431316
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Policy evaluation in macroeconomics : unemployment, fiscal rules, and exchange rates
Gehrke, Britta - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442652
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Short-run determinants of the IDR/USD exchange rate : a simultaneous-equation model
Hsing, Yu - In: Global economy journal : GEJ 15 (2015) 3, pp. 311-318
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381859
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Short-run determinants of the USD/PLN exchange rate and policy implications
Hsing, Yu - In: Theoretical and applied economics : GAER review 22 (2015) 2, pp. 247-254
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011561543
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Determinants of the ZAR/USD exchange rate and policy implications : a simultaneous-equation model
Hsing, Yu - In: Cogent economics & finance 4 (2016) 1, pp. 1-7
This paper examines the determinants of the South African rand/US dollar (ZAR/USD) exchange rate based on demand and supply analysis. Applying the EGARCH method, the paper finds that the ZAR/USD exchange rate is positively associated with the South African government bond yield, US real GDP, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450559