In this paper, we propose a method for jointly estimating indexes of economic and financial conditions by exploiting the intertemporal link between their cyclical behavior. This method combines a dynamic factor model for the joint modeling of economic and financial variables with mixed...

To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states. In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2020, thereby improving the regional database in Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when...

To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states. In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2021, thereby improving the regional database for Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when...

We investigate the predictive power of several leading indicators in order to forecast industrial production in Germany. In addition, we compare their predictive performance with variables from two competing categories, namely macroeconomic and financial variables. The predictive power within...

Die Arbeit umfasst 4 Kapitel aus verschiedenen Gebieten der angewandten O͏̈konometrie. Zwei Kapitel befassen sich damit die Bewegungen der Schweizer Konjunktur vorauszusagen. Ein weiteres behandelt asymmetrische Bandpassfilter mit Fokus auf Echtzeitproblemen und im letzten Kapitel wird die...