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This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms' DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from quantitative...
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, liquidity, and the yield curve. We find that orderflow imbalances (excess buying or selling pressure) can account for as much as … orderflow on yields is permanent and strongest when liquidity is low. All of the evidence points toward an important role of …
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