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We document empirical regularities of disaggregated inflation and consumption and study whether multisectoral New Keynesian models can explain them. We focus on higher moments of the inflation and consumption growth distributions as well as on the contemporaneous comovement of these two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242593
Carbon pricing initiatives, designed to increase the relative prices of greenhouse gas-intensive goods and services, could not only push up CPI inflation but also affect its volatility. Existing empirical literature has only found that carbon pricing schemes are generally associated to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244322
We analyze the effectiveness of the German tax reduction on fuel prices (‘Tankrabatt’) that was introduced for three months, starting on 1 June 2022. Using the synthetic control method to compare actual prices of gasoline and diesel to those in a counterfactual situation without the tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244339
Smooth-transition autoregressive (STAR) models have proven to be worthy competitors of Markov-switching models of regime shifts, but the assumption of a time-invariant threshold level does not seem realistic and it holds back this class of models from reaching their potential usefulness. Indeed,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014191035
Using wage agreements reached in the Canadian unionized sector during 1976-99, a period of high as well as exceptionally low inflation, we consider how histograms of wage adjustment change as inflation reaches the low levels of the 1990s. The histograms and parametric tests suggest that wage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014085724
This paper investigates the relation between economic openness and the aggressiveness of monetary authorities to ensure price stability. In a sample of 114 countries for the period 1949-2001, we find that more open economies tend to have more aggressive monetary policies which results in less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088615
The long-term relation between the level of prices, the monetary aggregates(M1 and M2), and the exchange rate (TC) is investigated in this paper for the Costa Rican economy. An error-correction model is proposed to mimic the short-term dynamics. The cointegration technique is used to study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088794
Using wage agreements reached in the Canadian unionized sector during 1976-99, a period of high as well as exceptionally low inflation, we consider how histograms of wage adjustment change as inflation reaches the low levels of the 1990s. The histograms and parametric tests suggest that wage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088876
We study how millions of granular and weekly household scanner data combined with machine learning can help to improve the real-time nowcast of German inflation. Our nowcasting exercise targets three hierarchy levels of inflation: individual products, product groups, and headline inflation. At...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014527067
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529004