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This paper analyzes the forecasting performance of an open economy DSGE model, estimated with Bayesian methods, for the … forecasting models such as vector autoregressions (VAR) and vector error correction models (VECM), estimated both by maximum …-dimensional summaries, e.g. the log determinant statistic, as measures of overall forecasting performance. …
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This paper investigates the effects of public investment in infrastructure on private output for Germany. Using a multivariate framework we explore the impact of a diverging selection of variables on the ensuing estimates and document confidence intervals computed following the bootstrap...
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