Showing 1 - 10 of 3,082
This paper investigates the importance of including data on new housing supply in Dynamic Stochastic General … financial sector and real estate sector, they have largely overlooked housing supply. I develop an extended DSGE model that … includes both the financial sector and endogenous housing supply and show that forecasting accuracy significantly improves when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484423
expansionary regimes increase residential investment, housing prices, and mortgage debt, while they have the opposite effects in … (DSGE) model with a housing sector that allows for multiple structural uncertainty shocks. We show that uncertainty shocks … to housing preference and the inflation target are the main sources of house price uncertainty shocks. Uncertainty shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842513
In this paper we study the drivers of fluctuations in the Irish housing market by developing a dynamic stochastic … that housing preference (demand) and technology shocks are the main drivers of fluctuations in house prices and residential … investment. Moreover, we find that adding housing collateral does not improve the fit of our model to the data. A standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308300
This paper models the housing sector, mortgages and endogenous default in a DSGE setting with nominal and real … housing demand shock. Next we use our estimated model to evaluate a policy that reduces the principal of underwater mortgages …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011660977
importance. In the second part of the paper we employ a standard model of dynamic optimisation with housing demand and seasonal … housing consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008990894
-deviation contractionary monetary policy surprise lowers housing list prices by 0.2%- 0.3% within two weeks-a magnitude on par with the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370483
This paper presents a novel Bayesian method for estimating dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models subject to a constrained posterior distribution of the implied Sharpe ratio. We apply our methodology to a DSGE model with habit formation in consumption and leisure, using an estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010192763
Using a nonlinear Bayesian likelihood approach that fully accounts for the lower bound on nominal interest rates, we analyze US post-crisis macroeconomic dynamics and provide reference parameter estimates. We find that despite the attention received in the literature, neither the inclusion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012406022
We present an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of stock market bubbles and business cycles using Bayesian methods. Bubbles emerge through a positive feedback loop mechanism supported by self-fulfilling beliefs. We identify a sentiment shock that drives the movements of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757753
Using a nonlinear Bayesian likelihood approach that fully accounts for the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates, the authors analyze US post-crisis business cycle dynamics and provide reference parameter estimates. They find that neither the inclusion of financial frictions nor that of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012234437