Showing 1 - 10 of 3,211
This paper considers a multivariate t version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed by Engle (2002), and suggests the use of devolatized returns computed as returns standardized by realized volatilities rather than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934
We perform an empirical analysis of trading strategies based on the systematic selling of delta hedged options, aiming at capturing the so-called volatility risk premium. We compare the performance across different strikes and maturities, and perform a breakdown of the drivers of performance. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250295
We study the intra-horizon value at risk (iVaR) in a general jump diffusion setup and propose a new model of asset returns called displaced mixed-exponential model, which can arbitrarily closely approximate finite-activity jump-diffusions and completely monotone Levy processes. We derive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935916
of mispricing. Rooted in behavioral finance, the non-local estimation embodies in particular the characteristic of …-referential mispricing, enabling us to disentangle the risk-return relationship from its instantaneous connection. By describing drawdowns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800780
In this paper we extend the traditional GARCH(1,1) model by including a functional trend term in the conditional volatility of a time series. We derive the main properties of the model and apply it to all agricultural commodities in the Mexican CPI basket, as well as to the international prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456514
The estimation of inflation volatility is important to Central Banks as it guides their policy initiatives for achieving and maintaining price stability. This paper employs three models from the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) family with a view to providing a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476231
The article applies a Regime Switching Fractionally Integrated Error Correction Generalized Orthogonal GARCH model (RSFIEC-GO) for optimal futures hedging. RSFIEC-GO captures both the relationships of fractional cointegration and regime shifts between spot and futures returns. Empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149005
This paper aims to compare the effectiveness of constant hedge ratio estimates (obtained through OLS and VECM methods) and time-varying hedge ratio estimates (obtained via M-GARCH method) for future contracts of ISE-30 index of TurkDEX. We use portfolio variance reduction as the measure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003896560
This empirical study examines the short-term dynamic lead-lag relationship between five-year Chinese government bond futures index and its underlying spot index, using daily data from September 06, 2013 to August 31, 2016. We carry out unit root test, Johansen-Juselius cointegration test,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960542
The paper proposes a general asymmetric multifactor Wishart stochastic volatility (AMWSV) diffusion process which accommodates leverage, feedback effects and multifactor for the covariance process. The paper gives the closed-form solution for the conditional and unconditional Laplace transform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326219