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We show that factor forecasting models deliver real-time gains over autoregressive models for US real activity variables during the recent period, but are less successful for nominal variables. The gains are largely due to the Financial Crisis period, and are primarily at the shortest (one...
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This paper considers the impact of US and UK Quantitative Easing (QE) on their respective economies with a particular focus on the stock market, production and price levels. We conduct an empirical quantitative exercise based on a novel six-variable VAR model, which combines macroeconomic and...
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