Showing 1 - 10 of 2,707
In the paper we analyze determinants of the capital market beta risk in Poland in the monthly period 1996-2002. The beta risk is measured as a time-varying parameter estimated in a regression of the Warsaw stock indexes (WIG and WIG20 separately) on major foreign stock market indexes (DJIA,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402721
-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265243
This article investigates the statistical and economic implications of adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with … rolling window and recursive forecasting schemes. The capabilities of single predictors and of adaptive techniques for … measures. The forward premium and a predictor based on a Taylor rule yield the most promising forecasting results out of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271612
that estimated parameters can be used for forecasting the evolution of the turbulent flow. We compare forecasting results … by estimating the intermittency parameter and forecasting of volatility for a sample of financial data from stock and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286258
-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models … models. -- Multiplicative volatility models ; long memory ; Student-t innovations ; international volatility forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864486
This article investigates the statistical and economic implications of adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with … rolling window and recursive forecasting schemes. The capabilities of single predictors and of adaptive techniques for … measures. The forward premium and a predictor based on a Taylor rule yield the most promising forecasting results out of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008696798
that estimated parameters can be used for forecasting the evolution of the turbulent flow. We compare forecasting results … by estimating the intermittency parameter and forecasting of volatility for a sample of financial data from stock and … foreign exchange markets. -- Random Lognormal cascades ; GMM estimation ; best linear forecasting ; volatility of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009389845
The predictive ability of the dividend-price ratio for future stock returns does not necessarily imply that dividend-price ratios predict future stock prices. Stock returns consist of both a capital gain and a dividend yield component, and we show that predictability of stock returns by lagged...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131071
forecasting given the limitations arising within their actual standard mathematical formalism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118101
This paper develops a new measure of return asymmetry, following Patil et al. (2012). We demonstrate that the return asymmetry measure helps explain the cross section of stock returns. Consistent with results in Barberis and Huang (2008), our empirical findings show that stocks with high return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902797