Showing 1 - 10 of 2,698
In the paper we analyze determinants of the capital market beta risk in Poland in the monthly period 1996-2002. The beta risk is measured as a time-varying parameter estimated in a regression of the Warsaw stock indexes (WIG and WIG20 separately) on major foreign stock market indexes (DJIA,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402721
-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265243
This article investigates the statistical and economic implications of adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with … rolling window and recursive forecasting schemes. The capabilities of single predictors and of adaptive techniques for … measures. The forward premium and a predictor based on a Taylor rule yield the most promising forecasting results out of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271612
that estimated parameters can be used for forecasting the evolution of the turbulent flow. We compare forecasting results … by estimating the intermittency parameter and forecasting of volatility for a sample of financial data from stock and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286258
Hundreds of papers and hundreds of factors attempt to explain the cross-section of expected returns. Given this extensive data mining, it does not make any economic or statistical sense to use the usual significance criteria for a newly discovered factor, e.g., a t-ratio greater than 2.0....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035730
forecasting given the limitations arising within their actual standard mathematical formalism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118101
that estimated parameters can be used for forecasting the evolution of the turbulent flow. We compare forecasting results … by estimating the intermittency parameter and forecasting of volatility for a sample of financial data from stock and … foreign exchange markets. -- Random Lognormal cascades ; GMM estimation ; best linear forecasting ; volatility of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009389845
This article investigates the statistical and economic implications of adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with … rolling window and recursive forecasting schemes. The capabilities of single predictors and of adaptive techniques for … measures. The forward premium and a predictor based on a Taylor rule yield the most promising forecasting results out of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008696798
-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models … models. -- Multiplicative volatility models ; long memory ; Student-t innovations ; international volatility forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864486
The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is tested using data of all available stocks in the Caracas Stock Exchange (CSE) from 1992 to 1998. We use a multiple regression model to test several hypotheses that lead to the validation of the CAPM. We find significant evidence to conclude that the CAPM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131050