Fundamentally, stocks are a good hedge against inflation if corporate profitability keeps up with inflation. Using monthly stock-market data covering over 151 years from 1871 to 2022, this paper analyzes the relationship between inflation and corporate profitability, measured by...

"This paper studies strategic asset allocation and consumption choice in the presence of regime switching in asset returns. We find evidence that four separate regimes - characterized as crash, slow growth, bull and recovery states - are required to capture the joint distribution of stock and...

"In the presence of infrequent but observable structural breaks, we show that a model in which the representative agent is on a rational learning path concerning the real consumption growth process can generate high equity premia and low risk-free interest rates. In fact, when the model is...