Showing 1 - 10 of 3,265
This paper studies monetary policy rules in a small open economy with Inflation Targeting, incomplete pass-through and rigid nominal wages. The paper shows that, when nominal wages are fully flexible and pass-through is low to moderate, the monetary authority should target the consumer price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523924
This paper assesses time variation in monetary policy rules by applying a Time-Varying Parameter Generalised Methods of Moments (TVP-GMM) framework. Using monthly data until December 2022 for five inflation targeting countries (the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden) and five countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284714
We use three different indicators based on inflation expectations to measure central bank credibility in 9 countries in … Central and Eastern Europe. We quantify credibility using differences between official inflation targets and inflation …. Determinants of central bank credibility are investigated using pooled OLS. According to our results, stable and low inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391669
Over the last twenty years the level and volatility of inflation decreased across industrial countries. The inflation behaviour can be explained by a shift in monetary policy or by a lucky period of low volatility in business cycle shocks. To test theluck hypothesis we examine the inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285320
bank credibility. Forward guidance and the credibility of the central bank are uniquely modeled by utilizing a game …-theoretic evolutionary framework. We estimate credibility for the U.S. Federal Reserve with Bayesian methods exploiting survey data on … estimate of Federal Reserve credibility in terms of forward guidance announcements is relatively high, which indicates a degree …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844416
This article investigates the relationship between central bank credibility and the volatility of the key monetary … policy instrument. Two main contributions are proposed. First, we propose a time-varying measure of central bank credibility … negative effect of credibility on the volatility of the short-term interest rate. Thus, in line with the expectations channel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003866
Central bank credibility is critical for the effectiveness of monetary policy. The measures of credibility that are … alternative measure that allows us to track the evolution of credibility in an inflationary environment. Credibility is defined as … decisions. We adopt a Bayesian set up to exploit this definition and document how credibility changes over time. Our measure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292071
Starting in the mid 1980s, the level and volatility of inflation decreased across industrial countries. The inflation stabilization can be explained by a shift in monetary policy or by a lucky period of low volatility in business cycle shocks. To test the "good luck hypothesis", we examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175504
Beginning with the global financial crisis (2008) the correlation between crude oil prices and medium-term and forward inflation expectations increased leading to fears of their un-anchoring. Using the first principal component of commodity prices as a measure for global aggregate demand, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916305
bank credibility. Forward guidance and the credibility of the central bank are uniquely modeled by utilizing a game …-theoretic evolutionary framework. We estimate credibility for the U.S. Federal Reserve with Bayesian methods exploiting survey data on … estimate of Federal Reserve credibility in terms of forward guidance announcements is relatively high, which indicates a degree …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846480