Our study investigates the explanatory power of future economic conditions on individual stock returns in the US and UK equity markets. We analyse a new trading strategy that is based on rational forecasts of future real activity. In addition, we specifically examine the performance of this...

The authors provide a reasonably user‐friendly and intuitive model for arriving at a company's optimal, or value‐maximizing, leverage ratio that is based on the estimation of company‐specific cost and benefit functions for debt financing. The benefit functions are downward‐sloping,...

This paper constructs a new measure of monetary policy shocks that is orthogonal to fundamentals by combining the high-frequency approach of Gurkaynak et al. (2005) and Romer and Romer (2004)'s narrative approach. The empirical features of the new measure are: (i) contractionary monetary policy...