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maturities. The premium depends on risk-neutral leverage effects and the expected future risk-neutral market variance and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405695
The moral hazard incentives of the bank safety net predict that distressed banks take on more risk and higher leverage … reduce their leverage and decrease observable measures of riskiness, which is inconsistent with the view that, on average …, moral hazard incentives dominate distressed bank leverage and risk-taking policies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216705
We revisit the relation between equity returns and financial leverage through the lens of a trade-off model with costly … returns depend on whether a firm's leverage is above or below its target leverage. The data support the model predictions …. Controlling for leverage, overlevered (underlevered) firms earn higher (lower) returns. Controlling for target leverage the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899835
We revisit the relation between equity returns and financial leverage through the lens of a dynamic trade-off model …'s leverage is above or below its target leverage. We provide empirical evidence in support of the model predictions. Controlling … for leverage, overlevered (underlevered) firms earn higher (lower) returns. A quantitative version of our model reproduces …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375176
In this paper, we revisit a frequently employed simplification within the WACC approach that company cost of capital kV is supposed to be invariant to the debt ratio and therefore equal to the unlevered cost kU . Even though we know from Miles and Ezzell (1980) that kV formally differs from kU ,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014325747
This paper examines whether deep/machine learning can help find any statistical and/or economic evidence of out-of-sample bond return predictability when real-time, instead of fully-revised, macro variables are taken as predictors. First, when using pure real-time macro information alone, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250220
Motivated by existing evidence of a preference among investors for stocks with high maximum daily returns, we document that lottery-like payoffs measured by maximum daily returns are almost entirely idiosyncratic. Firm-level cross-sectional regressions and portfolio-sort analyses prove that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250542
Using monthly returns to estimate portfolio alphas and betas is inappropriate for investors with longer horizons. Alphas and betas have flat term structures only under special conditions that do not hold generally. The paper develops a novel conditional moment estimation method that is simple,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004579
Implied correlation and variance risk premium stand out in predicting market returns. However, while the predictive ability of implied correlation lasts for up to a year, the variance risk premium predicts market returns only for one quarter ahead. Contrary to the accepted view, implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964588
Studies of bond return predictability find a puzzling disparity between strong statistical evidence of return predictability and the failure to convert return forecasts into economic gains. We show that resolving this puzzle requires accounting for important features of bond return models such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972962