This paper evaluates the properties of nominal interest rates as indicators of inflation expectations. Are they … sets. The results show that the interest rate level is a reasonably good indicator of the level of inflation expectations …. However, changes in interest rates are poor indicators of changes in inflation expectations …

Inflation expectation is acknowledged to be an important indicator for policy makers and financial investors. To … capture a more accurate real-time estimate of inflation expectation on the basis of financial markets, we propose an arbitrage …-free model across different countries in a multi-maturity term structure, where we first estimate inflation expectation by …

. This model decomposes the changes in original inflation series as two new series: increases and decreases in inflation … rates. Hence, it enables us to examine the Fisher effect in terms of increases and decreases in inflation separately. The …

short-term interest rate, inflation, the growth of industrial production, and the government debt ratio. The results show …

and implied volatility of T-bonds and survey forecasts of GDP growth and inflation. We find relatively stable inflation …

dynamics of inflation risk premia over the 1983-2013 period by allowing for time-varying market prices of inflation risk and … incorporating survey information on inflation uncertainty in the estimation. The model captures changes in premia over very diverse … periods, from the inflation scare episodes of the 1980s, when perceived inflation uncertainty was high, to the more recent …