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This paper analyzes the time-varying degree of inflation expectations anchoring in Bolivia and, more precisely, whether … inflation expectations have been in line with the inflation objectives announced by the Central Bank of Bolivia (BCB, for its … and medium-term inflation expectations. Second, monetary policy in Bolivia is under a monetary-targeting regime, so BCB …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882774
The Bolivian inflation process is analyzed utilizing a time-varying univariate and multivariate Markov-switching model … (TMS). With monthly data and, beginning in the late 1930s, inflation is accurately described by a univariate TMS. The … intercept for the high-inflation regime is significantly higher than for the low-inflation regime and the actual inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012485160
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974199
fiscal stance and inflation using cross-country data from 1965 to 1999. In a first step, we contrast the monetary … that the low-frequency relationship between the fiscal stance and inflation is low during periods of an independent central … illustrate the mechanisms through which fiscal actions affect inflation in the long run. The findings from the DSGE model suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382562
The popularity of inflation targeting has risen in the last decade and the number of countries that adopted inflation … targeting as their monetary policy framework surpassed 40 by the end of 2016. This study analyzes whether inflation targeting … around the world has been successful in terms of achieving the announced target and keeping inflation rate around it. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016727
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636807
In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation …, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline … annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly inflation will have an effect on the headline figure equal to 10% of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014491765
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000645197