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Although the link between oil prices and dollar exchange rates has been frequently analyzed, a clear distinction between prices and nominal exchange rate dynamics and a clarification of the issue of causality has not been provided. In addition, previous studies have mostly neglected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771139
In this paper we propose a generalisation of the noise trader transmission mechanism to examine the impact of central bank intervention on exchange rates. Within a heterogeneous expectations exchange rate model intervention operations are supposed to provide support to either chartist or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295734
In this paper we propose a generalisation of the noise trader transmission mechanism to examine the impact of central bank intervention on exchange rates. Within a heterogeneous expectations exchange rate model intervention operations are supposed to provide support to either chartist or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431685
We address the question of whether various types of speculative investor correctly anticipate future USD/EUR currency movements or whether they tend rather to react to past exchange rate movements. Throughout the analysis, we differentiate between large and small traders, and an upper bound of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391722
In this study a regime switching approach is applied to estimate the chartist and fundamentalist (c&f) exchange rate model originally proposed by Frankel and Froot (1986). The c&f model is tested against alternative regime switching specifications applying likelihood ratio tests. Nested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765353
the Euro by applying the cointegration analysis to exchange rates. The introduction of the Euro has changed the structure … the introduction of a new currency has resulted in inefficient markets, a bivariate cointegration analysis should be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300150
the Euro by applying the cointegration analysis to exchange rates. The introduction of the Euro has changed the structure … the introduction of a new currency has resulted in inefficient markets, a bivariate cointegration analysis should be … adjustment to the long-run equilibrium. -- foreign exchange market ; market efficiency ; cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003582754
This paper re-examines the UIP relation by estimating first a benchmark linear Cointegrated VAR including the nominal exchange rate and the interest rate differential as well as central bank announcements, and then a Cointegrated Smooth Transition VAR (CVSTAR) model incorporating nonlinearities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508617
between the variables. The evidence reveals that there is a strong long-run cointegration. The robustness of the ARDL bounds … test cointegration was confirmed using the newly-developed combined cointegration, which also provided the same evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649295
We propose in this paper a likelihood-based framework forcointegration analysis in panels of a fixed number of vector errorcorrection models. Maximum likelihood estimators of thecointegrating vectors are constructed using iterated GeneralizedMethod of Moments estimators. Using these estimators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302148