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This paper analyses the choices of exchange rate regimes in developing countries since 1980. Static and dynamic random-effects multinominal panel models are estimated using simulation-based techniques. Explanatory variables include OCA fundamentals, stabilization considerations, currency crises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003328432
This paper uses a panel probit model with simultaneous equations to explain the joint determination of de facto and de jure exchange rate regimes in developing countries since 1980. We also derive an ordered-choice panel probit model to explain the causes of discrepancies between the two regime...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003328494
Recent studies on the growth effects of exchange rate regimes offer a wide range of different, sometimes contradictory results. In this paper, we systematically compare three prominent contributions in this field. Using a common data set, a common specification, and common estimation methods, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397221
The problem is to evaluate the likelihood that a country will face a currency or balance of payments crisis over a given horizon. When is it rational for market participants to expect a depreciation of the currency? On the basis of considerable empirical studies we know that in both banking and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320946
We test a simple model of exchange rate regime choice with data for 65 non-OECD countries covering the period 1980-94. We find that the variance of output at home and in potential target countries as well as the correlation between home and foreign real activity are powerful and robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321075
We study the impact of the ECB's large scale asset purchase programme on selected euro area and neighbouring countries. The effects of the programme are assessed by conducting an event study as well as by estimating a structural VAR model using a shadow short rate as a measure of the monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011740711
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003511777
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590395
This paper extends the literature on the Dutch disease by showing how natural resources can reduce secondary-sector employment and investment through channels involving labor-market externalities and exchange-rate volatility. We then look at data from Iceland - which is one of few OECD countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014126779
This paper applies a robust empirical methodology, which considers issues relating to cross-country heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence, to inspect the contributions of gender equality and factor income distribution to an economy's growth path. A dynamic model of aggregate demand is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239618