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This paper investigates whether a fiscal stimulus implies a different impact for flexible and rigid labour markets. The analysis is done for 11 advanced OECD economies. Using quarterly data from 1999 to 2013, I estimate a panel threshold structural VAR model in which regime switches are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491745
We analyse the poisonous interaction between bank rescues, financial fragility and sovereign debt discounts. In our model balance sheet constrained financial intermediaries finance both capital expenditure of intermediate goods producers and government deficits. The financial intermediaries face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010224776
We investigate the effectiveness of "Keynesian" fiscal stimuli when government deficits and debt rollovers are (possibly partially) financed by balance sheet constrained financial intermediaries. Because financial intermediaries operate under a leverage constraint, deficit financing of fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226967
Fiscal policy influences economic conditions through public spending and taxes, generating positive or negative impulses, both on short and long term. The present research focuses on analysing the effects of the discretionary changes in the fiscal policy in seven post-communist countries of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256485
-contingent framework. We achieve identification of causal effects with new propensity-score based methods for time series data. Using this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010463587
the identification problem involved by setting up the FTPL as a structural model for the episode and pitting it against an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202214
the identification problem involved by setting up the FTPL as a structural model for the episode and pitting it against an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010413736
We investigate the short-term effects of fiscal policy shocks on the German economy following the SVAR approach by Blanchard and Perotti (2002). We find that direct government expenditure shocks increase output and private consumption on impact with low statistical significance, while they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295830
How does private consumption react to an exogenous increase in government expenditure? Standard structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) usually report a positive GDP as well as consumption response, while event studies report a negative consumption response. We investigate in a SVAR whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295850
This paper argues that any assessment on the intentional stance of fiscal policy should be based upon all the information available to policymakers at the time of fiscal planning. In particular, real-time data on the discretionary fiscal policy "instrument", the structural primary balance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604965