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. Our results show that the Natural Rate/NAIRU has increased by approximately 1.5 percentage points since the 1970s, driven …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583137
" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical …, cointegration issues, and a time variability of the NAIRU and its confidence intervals. Despite many serious caveats a new attempt … is made to estimate a NAIRU for Germany based on conventional Phillips curves as well as on new approaches such as using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297287
" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical …, cointegration issues, and a time variability of the NAIRU and its confidence intervals. Despite many serious caveats a new attempt … is made to estimate a NAIRU for Germany based on conventional Phillips curves as well as on new approaches such as using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448601
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011805484
In this paper, we show that in order to obtain a sound identification of Euro Area monetary policy shocks, one needs to deal with the interaction of the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve. In other words, a proper identification of monetary policy shocks for an open economy like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
Estimates of the Nairu generally suffer from a large uncertainty, which can be reduced by adopting a bivariate …, it appears that the Nairu can substantially differ from the unemployment trend. Second, relaxing the common trend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120707
The paper estimates the NAIRU from a Phillips curve relationship in the state-space framework. To identify the … economic relation on the basis of which the NAIRU is derived. -- Non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment ; state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657146
The paper estimates the NAIRU from a Phillips curve relationship in the state-space framework. To identify the … economic relation on the basis of which the NAIRU is derived …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991082
Using a New Keynesian Phillips curve, we document the rapid and persistent increase in the natural rate of unemployment, 𝑢𝑡 ∗ , in the aftermath of the pandemic and characterize its implications for inflation dynamics. While the bulk of the inflation surge is attributed to temporary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501075
Estimating natural rate of unemployment (NAIRU) is important for understanding the joint dynamics of unemployment … with NAIRU in a model consistent way. We estimate a structural model with forward and backward looking Phillips curve …, we find that the estimated NAIRU tracks unemployment rate closely, except for the high inflation period (late 1970s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971418