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mechanism in foreign exchange markets. We analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for expected … expectations regarding GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, and current accounts. Our empirical findings show that fundamentals … attention to expected fundamentals. Finally, we also observe that incorporating expected fundamentals tends to reduce forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990178
mechanism in foreign exchange markets. Therefore, we analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for … fundamentals, which is not fully consistent with traditional fundamentals models. We especially highlight the relevance of the PPP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012435503
This paper investigates the effect of inflation volatility on private sector credit growth. The results indicate that private sector credit growth is positively linked to the one period lagged inflation volatility. Given that past monetary policy actions continue to affect the targeted variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853882
At the beginning of 1999 the euro was launched as a common currency in 11 European countries. This paper addresses empirically the medium to long-term forces driving the real euro-dollar exchange rate. Constructing a synthetic euro-dollar exchange rate over a period from 1975 to 1998 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295690
This paper investigates the relationship between the euro-dollar exchange rate and its underlying fundamentals. First … of different regimes, and thus nonlinearities in the link between the exchange rate and its fundamentals. Second, we … are that different sets of macroeconomic fundamentals act as driving forces of the exchange rates during different time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261347
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193345
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011572350
rates, i.e. we look for comovements of exchange rates which are stronger than implied by fundamentals. The results of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302725
among fundamentals and exchange rates since the breakdown of BrettonWoods. Second, there are no recurring regimes, i ….e. across different regimes either the coefficient values for the same fundamentals differ or the significance differs. Third …, there is no regime in which no fundamentals enter. Fourth, the deviations resulting from the stepwise cointegrating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265822
among fundamentals and exchange rates since the breakdown of Bretton Woods. Second, there are no recurring regimes, i ….e. across different regimes either the coefficient values for the same fundamentals differ or the significance differs. Third …, there is no regime in which no fundamentals enter. Fourth, the deviations resulting from the stepwise cointegrating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271135