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Vorlaufeigenschaften von ifo-Indikatoren für Westdeutschland

Fritsche, Ulrich - 1999

Ifo-Indikatoren werden auf ihre Vorlaufeigenschaften, auf Granger-Kausalität, die Stabilität der Vorlaufbeziehung und einen Strukturbruch untersucht. Da die Ifo-Reihen noch nicht auf die neue Gliederung der amtlichen Statistik (WZ 93) umgestellt wurden, wird erstmals die Eignung der...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260707

Leading indicators of German business cycles: An assessment of properties

Fritsche, Ulrich; Stephan, Sabine - 2000

A reliable leading indicator should possess the following properties: (1) The movements in the indicator series should resemble those in the business cycle reference series. (2) The relation between the reference series and the indicator should be statistically significant and stable over time....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324215

Heterogeneity in manufacturing growth risk

Opschoor, Daan; Dijk, Dick van; Franses, Philip Hans - 2021

We analyze output growth risk with respect to financial conditions across U.S. manufacturing industries. Using a multi-level quantile regression approach, we find strong heterogeneity in growth risk, particularly between the more vulnerable durable goods sector and the more resilient nondurable...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510760

Markups as a hedge for input price uncertainty: evidence from Sweden

Agrawal, Sneha; Gaurav, Abhishek; Suveg, Melinda - 2021

prices set higher markups. We use the Bartik shift-share approach to empirically test whether firms which use more oil … relative to other inputs set higher markups when oil prices are more volatile. Our estimates imply that a one standard … deviation increase in oil price volatility leads to a 0.38 percent increase in the markup of firms with average oil exposure. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012695355

Leading indicators of German business cycles : an assessment of properties

Fritsche, Ulrich; Stephan, Sabine - 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013436037

Leading indicators of Euroland business cycles

Fritsche, Ulrich; Marklein, Felix - 2001

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013436090

Do probit models help in forecasting turning points in German business cycles?

Fritsche, Ulrich - 2001

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013436097

The Cyclicality of Mark-Ups and Profit Margins : Some Evidence for Manufacturing and Services

Small, Ian - 1998

This paper uses industry and firm data to look at price cost mark-ups and firm profit margins in U.K. manufacturing and services. In particular it examines how they behave over the business cycle. It has two main findings. First, the estimated average mark-ups and the profit margin results both...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217044

Vorlaufeigenschaften von Ifo-Indikatoren für Westdeutschland

Fritsche, Ulrich - 1999

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001355760

Vorlaufeigenschaften von Ifo-Indikatoren für Westdeutschland

Fritsche, Ulrich - 1999

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432476