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Monetary policy and exchange rates : a balanced two-country cointegrated VAR model approach
Heinlein, Reinhold; Krolzig, Hans-Martin - 2013
decouple the two-country macro dynamics of country averages and country differences such that the cointegration analysis can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228354
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On the construction of two-country cointegrated VAR models with an application to the UK and US
Heinlein, Reinhold; Krolzig, Hans-Martin - 2012
. Symmetry is rejected for the short-run, thus for the given cointegration vectors the final modelling stage is based on the full …, where the VAR based cointegration analysis is combined with a graph-theoretic search for instantaneous causal relations and … unanticipated interest rate change by the Fed. -- Two-country model ; Cointegration ; Structural VAR ; Gets Model Selection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009672516
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Exports and capacity constraints : evidence for several euro area countries
Belke, Ansgar; Oeking, Anne; Setzer, Ralph - 2015
We argue that, under certain conditions, firms consider exports as a substitute for domestic demand. Our econometric model for six euro area countries suggests domestic demand and capacity constraints as additional variables for export equations. We apply the exponential and logistic variant of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300368
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Exports and capacity constraints : a smooth transition regression model for six euro area countries
Belke, Ansgar; Oeking, Anne; Setzer, Ralph - 2013
Traditional specifications of export equations incorporate foreign demand as a demand pull factor and the real exchange rate as a relative price variable. However, such standard export equations have failed to explain the export performance of euro area countries during the crisis period. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010195462
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Exports and capacity constraints : a smooth transition regression model for six euro area countries
Belke, Ansgar; Oeking, Anne; Setzer, Ralph - 2013
Traditional specifications of export equations incorporate foreign demand as a demand pull factor and the real exchange rate as a relative price variable. However, such standard export equations have failed to explain the export performance of euro area countries during the crisis period. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255111
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Cointegration and Threshold Adjustment
Enders, Walter; Siklos, Pierre L. - 2001
The Engle-Granger test for cointegration is extended by assuming that the error correction terms are asymmetric. Two … consider an application where we test for cointegration between long and short US interest rates. Conventional cointegration … testing (i.e., Engle-Granger, Johansen) concludes that interest rates are not cointegrated while we do find cointegration in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014145753
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Global stochastic trends in growth, interest and inflation : is the post-Bretton-Woods era driven by the Volcker disinflation?
Heinlein, Reinhold; Krolzig, Hans-Martin - 2013
This note aims to identify the stable long-run relationships as well as unstable driving forces of the world economy using an aggregated approach involving the four largest currency blocks. The small global macromodel encompasses aggregated quarterly US, UK, Japanese and Euro Area data for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228337
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Foreign Capital in Latin America : A Long-Run Structural Global VAR Perspective
Boschi, Melisso - 2007
I study the determinants of capital flows to Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, assessing the relative importance of domestic and global factors. I estimate six VECM models, one for each Latin American country plus the Euro Area, Japan, and USA, and then embed them in a multi-country Global VAR. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728441
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Central Bank Policy Rates : Are They Cointegrated?
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2017
the US, the Eurozone, Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK using fractional integration and cointegration techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958879
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Central Bank Policy Rates : Are They Cointegrated?
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2017
the US, the Eurozone, Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK using fractional integration and cointegration techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960910