We propose a multivariate Bayesian state space model to identify potential growth and the output gap consistent with the dynamics of the underlying production sectors of the economy and those of inflation and the labor market. Our approach allows us to decompose economic fluctuations and...

Using a large dataset of Greek firms over the period 1998-2014, we investigate the excess sensitivity of small and young firms to the Greek financial crisis, along with the potential sources and aggregate implications. Controlling for size effects, the decline in sales growth rate during the...

The concepts of potential growth and the output gap are important components in assessing the business cycle and productive capacity of an economy. However, being unobservable, these measures must be estimated. The Fiscal Compact will result in these concepts being used to judge EU member states...

This paper assesses the impact of both monetary and fiscal policy along with other macroeconomic determinants on economic activity using state-level Indian data. Since economic activity can vary across states due to local factors and state government policies, a state-level empirical analysis,...

Is there a link between loose monetary conditions, credit growth, house price booms, and financial instability? This paper analyzes the role of interest rates and credit in driving house price booms and busts with data spanning 140 years of modern economic history in the advanced economies. We...

We study the properties of the IMF-WEO estimates of real-time output gaps for countries in the euro area as well as the determinants of their revisions over 1994-2017. The analysis shows that staff typically saw economies as operating below their potential. In real time, output gaps tend to have...

For over a decade of practicing inflation targeting (IT) strategy, inflation has remained high and persistent while economic growth momentum has boosted in Ghana. This paper investigates the relative macroeconomic benefits of the IT strategy in Ghana based on business cycle fluctuations and...

Gegenstand dieses Artikels ist die Berechnung einer Translog-Produktionsfunktion für Gesamtdeutschland, die mit der endogenen Wachstumstheorie theoretisch fundiert wird. Die räumlich-ökonometrische Schätzung zeigt, dass die einbezogenen Produktionsfaktoren einen signifikanten positiven...

Mit der fortschreitenden Ausrichtung der Regionalpolitik auf innovative Netzwerke gewinnt die Abgrenzung von Innovationsregionen - Regionen, die die Informationsverflechtungen im Raum widerspiegeln - an Bedeutung. Die räumlich-ökonometrische Schätzung einer aus der endogenen Wachstumstheorie...

Gegenstand des Artikels ist die Schätzung einer Translog-Produktionsfunktion, die die Auswirkungen der Bevölkerungsentwicklung auf die Produktion heute und im Jahr 2020 betrachtet. Die Ergebnisse deuten auf eine Entwicklung hin, die zu steigenden Disparitäten führt. Schon heute ist ein...