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1980Q1 to 2010Q4 to test the effect of inflation on stock prices. The analysis is done using Auto-Regressive Distributed … supply and inflation are ~I(1). Causality test suggests a unidirectional causation from inflation to stock prices. The … indicate that inflation exerts a significant and negative impact on stock prices in South Africa …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060322
inflation to monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576652
A.W. Phillips's discovery that inflation is negatively correlated with unemployment served as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014094429
What are the drivers of business cycle fluctuations? And how many are there? Bydocumenting strong and predictable co-movement of real variables during the business cyclein a sample of advanced economies, we argue that most business cycle fluctuations aredriven by one major factor. The positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962163
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014279444
Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292328
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
We verify whether cocoa prices could be a source of inflation in five countries of the West African region within a … remittances enables us to examine the effect of an international capital flow variable on inflation. The results reveal that the … influence of cocoa prices on consumer price inflation is strong and statistically significant. The influence of the budget …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294008
This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295663
This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295806