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We examine whether there is contagion from the U.S. stock market to six Central and Eastern European stock markets. We … use a novel measure of contagion that examines whether volatility shocks in the U.S. stock market coupled with negative … set of marketrelated variables, we show that during the period from 1998 to 2014, financial contagion occurred, i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482691
This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion … contagion in typically bounded time intervals. Controlling for changes in the risk pricing by investors, we detect several … channels of pure contagion between 2008 and 2012. Further, we find that the bailout-programs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222446
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
plunging stock market in the US, in the aftermath of global financial crisis (2007 - 2009), exerts contagion effects on … terms, and time-varying correlations. The empirical analysis shows a contagion effect for Brazil and Mexico during the early …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490457
We examine time-varying stock market comovements in Central Europe employing the asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation multivariate GARCH model. Using daily data from 2001 to 2011, we find that the correlations among stock markets in Central Europe and between Central Europe vis-a-vis the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318421
The paper investigates the determinants of the US$/€ exchange rate since its introduction in 1999, with a special focus on the recent subprime mortgage and sovereign debt financial crises. The econometric model is grounded on the asset pricing theory of exchange rate determination, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009488
This paper presents tests of uncovered interest parity in Croatia, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Romania; all countries in Central and Eastern Europe with floating exchange rates. Data are monthly and the trading horizon is three months. The estimations show that the UIP hypothesis is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096314
We examine time-varying stock market comovements in Central Europe employing the asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation multivariate GARCH model. Using daily data from 2001 to 2011, we find that the correlations among stock markets in Central Europe and between Central Europe vis–à–vis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096626
This paper predicts phases of the financial cycle by combining a continuous financial stress measure in a Markov switching framework. The debt service ratio and property market variables signal a transition to a high financial stress regime, while economic sentiment indicators provide signals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647949
We examine time-varying stock market comovements in Central Europe employing the asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation multivariate GARCH model. Using daily data from 2001 to 2011, we find that the correlations among stock markets in Central Europe and between Central Europe vis-a-vis the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615081