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hand and the inflation rate on the other hand. Empirically, we estimate this relationship by developing three different … markets for goods and services will push up inflation. We show the empirical relevance of the modified output gap for Spain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946383
Long-term bond yields contain a risk-premium, an important part of which is compensation for inflation risks. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584286
household and expert inflation expectations in five core European economies (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Spain … in high inflation countries are using higher best fitting constant gain parameters than those in low inflation countries … frequently than households. Furthermore, household expectations in the Euro Area have not converged to the inflation goal of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295853
and does not require targeting a positive average rate of inflation. Interestingly, the presence of binding real rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298285
This paper seeks to understand dynamics of inflation and marginal cost (labor share) in models that account for the … productivity growth particularly for the US. We conclude that a better understanding of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270060
Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292328
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
We verify whether cocoa prices could be a source of inflation in five countries of the West African region within a … remittances enables us to examine the effect of an international capital flow variable on inflation. The results reveal that the … influence of cocoa prices on consumer price inflation is strong and statistically significant. The influence of the budget …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294008
This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295663
This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295806