This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …

While the long run relation between money and inflation is well established, empirical evidence on the adjustment to … substantially expands the traditional vector error correction approach, to analyze the short run impact of money on prices. We … contribute to the literature in three ways: First, we distinguish changes in velocity of money that are due to institutional …

. Quantitative goals take three forms: exchange rates, money growth rates, and inflation targets. We analyze the effects on inflation … determinants of inflation (such as fiscal policy, the business cycle, and openness to international trade), and the endogeneity of … systematically and robustly associated with lower inflation. The exact form of the monetary target matters somewhat (especially for …