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This study analyzes the international transmission of US interest rate hikes using the factor-augmented autoregression model. To achieve this purpose, this study first identifies the shocks that result from the US interest rate policies and analyzes how these shocks impact the outputs and prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907265
By employing a novel dataset on international capital flows, this paper examines the impact of Fed's quantitative easing (QE) policies on flows to emerging markets economies (EMEs) and the EU countries. Episodes of QE are examined separately, with the last episode divided between pre- and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582306
We estimate international spillover effects of US Quantitative Easing (QE) on emerging market economies (EMEs). Using a Bayesian VAR on monthly US macroeconomic and financial data, we first identify the US QE shock. The identified US QE shock is then used in a monthly Bayesian panel VAR for EMEs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011786694
Greater international economic interconnectedness over recent decades has been changing inflation dynamics. This paper presents evidence that the expansion of global value chains (GVCs), ie cross-border trade in intermediate goods and services, is an important channel through which global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619539
The notion that flexible exchange rates insulate a country from foreign shocks is well grounded in theory, from the classics (Meade, 1951; Friedman 1953), to the more recent open economy literature (Obstfeld and Rogo, 2000). We confront it with new evidence from Europe. Specifically, we study how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438341
We build a fully micro-founded dynamic general equilibrium (DSGE) model, which is estimated employing Bayesian methods. The model captures the most salient features of Austria as a small open economy, the Euro Area (EA) and the United States (U.S.). Further analysis is conducted through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373510
The paper analyses within a two-country framework the role of monetary shocks in transmitting macroeconomic fluctuations across countries, with a special emphasis on the case of Romania. The investigation is important as Romania is preparing to give up its monetary sovereignty and become a full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012719861
Greater international economic interconnectedness over recent decades has been changing inflation dynamics. This paper presents evidence that the expansion of global value chains (GVCs), ie cross-border trade in intermediate goods and services, is an important channel through which global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964550
Greater international economic interconnectedness over recent decades has been changing inflation dynamics. This paper presents evidence that the expansion of global value chains (GVCs), ie cross-border trade in intermediate goods and services, is an important channel through which global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958886
During the financial crisis a notion that the Polish exchange rate is not determined effectively was very dominant, because of a contagion effect of the global financial crisis on the Polish economy. In addition, many foreign exchange market analysts explained developments in the Polish exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012002550